Kazakhstan is the country most affected by the shallowing of the Caspian Sea

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The Kazakh sector of the Caspian Sea is suffering the most from the decline in sea levels. According to forecasts by Kazhydromet experts, by the middle of the century, the sea level may drop by another two meters, reports the Adyrna national portal, citing Lada.kz.

Scientists note that both climate change and human activity are contributing to the decrease in the sea level.

Research shows that by 2050, the level of the Caspian Sea could fall to minus 32.4–34 meters according to the Baltic height system.

Historical data indicate the following trends:

  • From 1940 to 1977, the sea level dropped by 4 cm per year;
  • From 1978 to 1995, it rose by 13 cm per year;
  • From 1996 to 2023, it fell again by 8 cm per year.

Since 2006, the Caspian Sea level has decreased by 2 meters.

In 2024, the sea level dropped by 22 cm in the northeastern part, and by 29 cm in the eastern part.

As of September, the highest sea level was recorded at Igolkinskaya Banka — 147 cm, while the lowest was near Kuryk — minus 195 cm.

The average level stood at minus 29.18 meters (according to the Baltic height system).

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